LEO Constellations — Segmented Landscape Map

Organized by telco-strategic impact · 5 segments · May 2026
Segment 1
Direct-to-Device / Direct-to-Cell
Connect directly to unmodified smartphones using MNO spectrum. Highest telco exposure — both as partners and as potentially disintermediated incumbents.
AST SpaceMobile
🇺🇸 AST
SpaceMobile (BlueBird) — phased-array giants
Deploying
Telco impact:
MNO-friendly
In Orbit
~7 (45 tgt EOY26)
Target
100+ for global
Spectrum
MNO partner + MSS
Service
4G/5G voice·data

Very large phased-array sats (BlueBird 6 = largest commercial array in LEO). FCC commercial SCS authorization granted May 2026. Revenue-share — telcos keep the customer. BlueBird 7 lost to bad orbit Mar 2026.

Extra: $3.9B liquidity · $1.2B contracted revenue · FY26 guidance $150–200M · ~60 MNO partners / 2.9B pop (Vodafone, AT&T, Verizon, Orange, Rakuten…)
Starlink Direct-to-Cell
🇺🇸 SpaceX
D2C payload on V2 Mini → V3 from 2026
Live
Telco impact:
Disintermediation risk
In Orbit (D2C)
~650+ D2C sats
Target
15,000 next-gen filed
Spectrum
MNO partner + own (US)
Service
4G/5G voice·data*

Served 12M+ users in 2025 (~6M MAU). *Service depends on hardware generation: today's V2 Mini fleet does text + limited voice/data; full 5G voice·data comes only with the V3 transition (H1 2026, via Starship) — 10× downlink / 24× uplink. Can bypass MNOs where it owns spectrum.

Extra: Own spectrum via ~$20B EchoStar deal (AWS-4/H-Block, ~65MHz, US; FCC-approved May 2026) — facilities-based, not just leasing. Anchor T-Mobile US. Partners: Optus, Rogers, KDDI, One NZ, Salt, Entel · Ukraine via Kyivstar
Lynk Global → Omnispace
🇺🇸 Lynk / Omnispace
Merging — "cell-towers-in-space" + S-band
Operational (merging)
Telco impact:
MNO-friendly
In Orbit
~7-8 LEO sats
Target
~5,000 by 2030
Spectrum
Omnispace 60MHz S-band
Service
SMS·IoT·911 → voice

Major shift: Lynk + Omnispace merging (announced Oct 2025), SES becoming major shareholder. Capability scales with fleet: ~25-50 sats for 30-min messaging, 74-186 "seamless," 250-920 for voice/broadband. SES inter-satellite relay (MEO/GEO) bypasses ground-station limits over oceans — testing Q3 2026.

Extra: Virginia-based (ex-UbiquitiLink) · 50+ MNO agreements · customer service mid-2027 · merger closes late-2025/early-2026 pending regulators
Globalstar
🇺🇸 Amazon-acquired
Apple's iPhone SOS backbone
Acquired by Amazon
Telco impact:
Hyperscaler control
In Orbit
~31 (gen-2 + spares)
Target
48 (C-3) + 17 replace
Spectrum
L/S-band (Band n53)
Service
SOS·IoT → voice/data

Major shift: Amazon now controls both Leo (Kuiper) broadband + Globalstar spectrum & D2D. A hyperscaler vertically integrating space connectivity. ~$10.8B deal closing 2027; Amazon Leo's own next-gen D2D from 2028.

Extra: Anchor Apple (20% stake, ~$1.5B, ~85% capacity, exclusive iPhone SOS) · C-3 sats by MDA/Rocket Lab · larger 3,080-sat HIBLEO-XL filing is a paper claim, not funded · Amazon Leo's own D2D from 2028
Skylo
🇺🇸 Skylo
NTN aggregator — no own sats
Operational
Telco impact:
Standards-based
In Orbit
None (aggregator)
Target
GEO/MEO partner sats
Spectrum
L/S-band via partners
Service
NB-IoT NTN · D2D

Service aggregator, not a constellation owner. Standards-based NB-IoT NTN for smartphones, wearables and IoT. Orange picked Skylo as first European D2D-messaging partner.

Extra: Model MNO/MVNO · partners incl. Orange, Deutsche Telekom (multi-orbit)
Satellite Connect Europe
🇪🇺 Vodafone × AST JV
Ex-"SatCo" — European-sovereign D2D wholesale
Launching 2026
Telco impact:
Wholesale / sovereign
In Orbit
Uses AST fleet
Target
5 EU ground stations
Spectrum
EU MNO + 2GHz MSS bid
Service
4G/5G voice·data

Luxembourg-HQ'd, European-owned JV (launched Feb 2026). Open-access wholesale D2D for European MNOs riding AST's constellation, but with ops, data and control kept in EU jurisdiction. Explicitly a "sovereign satellite solution for the whole of Europe." MNOs in 21 EU states interested.

Extra: Ops centre in Germany (Munich/Hannover) · chair John Slamecka (ex-AT&T) · ITU filing via Germany
About the segment · Non-Western D2D bloc
China — state-licensed D2D

Segment 1 is otherwise US/EU-led, but China runs a parallel, state-driven D2D ecosystem. As of Sept 2025 all three Chinese telcos — China Mobile, China Unicom, China Telecom — are licensed to sell satellite-based mobile services to consumers. Today's D2D rides the TianTong GEO system and BeiDou; the Guowang and Qianfan LEO mega-constellations (see Segment 2) will carry it at scale. A sovereign bloc serving China + Belt-and-Road markets, largely closed to Western operators.

Demand driver — Safety-of-life / consumer rescue: Emergency SOS and mass alerting are the regulatory wedge that makes D2D politically unstoppable. Apple iPhone Emergency SOS already rides Globalstar; Lynk, AST and OQ Technology target 911/emergency-broadcast over unmodified phones (OQ demoed an emergency broadcast to stock iPhones/Androids in late 2025). This is a use case that sells D2D to regulators and MNOs — not a separate supplier segment.
Segment 2
LEO Broadband (CPE/Terminal-Based)
Backhaul and fixed-wireless impact on telcos. Competes with FTTH in rural; partners on backhaul in some markets.
Starlink
🇺🇸 SpaceX
~52% of all operational LEO sats
Operational at scale
In Orbit
8,500+ sats
Target
+7,500 Gen2 approved
Band
Ku/Ka (V3: terabit)
Telco Role
Compete + backhaul

Direct competitor to telco FTTH in rural; backhaul partner in some. The reference point every other broadband constellation is measured against. Network capacity ~450 Tbps; V3 sats (H1 2026) add 60 Tbps/launch via Starship.

Extra: ~9.2M subscribers across ~155 countries (early 2026) · ~25ms median US latency
Amazon Leo
🇺🇸 Amazon
Formerly Project Kuiper
Deploying
In Orbit
~302 sats
Target
3,236
Band
Ka-band
Telco Role
Backhaul + compete

Formerly Project Kuiper. Kirkland factory ~1,000 sats/yr peak. Commercial launch mid-2026; Leo Ultra tier (1 Gbps down / 400 Mbps up). FCC deadline: half the fleet by Jul 2026 — extension requested. Filed for own D2D from 2028.

Extra: Targets enterprise, government, telco backhaul · vertically integrated with AWS · capacity reportedly already > OneWeb
Eutelsat OneWeb
🇪🇺🇬🇧 Eutelsat
Telco-friendly distribution model
Operational
In Orbit
~650 sats
Target
Gen2: 440 ordered
Band
Ku (user) / Ka (gw)
Telco Role
Distribute via telcos

The telco-friendly alternative to Starlink. Multi-orbit through Eutelsat GEO; no direct consumer broadband. ~3.6 Tbps capacity. OneWeb revenue +60% H1; €2bn replenishment for 440 next-gen sats (Airbus). Strong sovereignty positioning.

Extra: Channel: BT, Orange, Telefónica · gov deals incl. French MoD framework, Greenland's Tusass · founding SpaceRISE / IRIS² member
Telesat Lightspeed
🇨🇦 Telesat
Enterprise-grade, polar + inclined
Pre-launch
In Orbit
0 (pathfinders Dec'26)
Target
198 sats (~10 Tbps)
Band
Ka + 500MHz mil-Ka
Telco Role
Enterprise/gov partner

Pathfinders Dec 2026; 96-sat initial global service from 2027 (full ~2028). LEO backlog (C$1.1B) now exceeds GEO. Aalyria Spacetime multi-orbit OS; zero-trust, jam-resistant. PM Carney pitching it to allied governments (sovereign play).

Extra: Partners Orange, Vocus, Viasat, ADN Telecom · Hanwha (K-LEO) MoU · MDA Space builds the sats · funded by Canada + Québec
Guowang / Qianfan (G60)
🇨🇳 China SatNet / SSST
Sovereign non-Western alternative
Deploying
In Orbit
Hundreds (both)
Target
Guowang 13k · Qianfan 14k
Band
Ku/Ka
Telco Role
Sovereign / wholesale

Two state-backed mega-constellations. Will reshape Asian and Belt-and-Road telco markets as the non-Western alternative. Qianfan markets via "Sailspace"/Spacesail brand to foreign telcos. Qianfan Phase 1 = 1,296 sats.

Extra: Exact in-orbit counts not consistently disclosed · operators: China SatNet (Guowang), SSST (Qianfan/G60)
IRIS²
🇪🇺 SpaceRISE
EU sovereign multi-orbit
Planned
In Orbit
0
Target
290 sats (MEO+LEO)
Band
Multi-orbit
Telco Role
EU sovereign / gov

European sovereign system routing around US/Chinese networks. €10.6B concession (~61% public). Watch: repeatedly slipped (now ~2030–31); critics note ~2 Tbps LEO capacity is modest vs cost. Consortium: SES, Eutelsat, Hispasat.

Extra: Airbus & Thales Alenia stepped back from equity; Hispasat being acquired by Indra · UK exploring a "tech tie-up"
SpinLaunch Meridian
🇺🇸 SpinLaunch
Disruptive launch economics
Emerging
In Orbit
0 (first sat Oct'26)
Target
280 sats (initial)
Band
Not disclosed
Telco Role
Sovereign / regional

Disruptive economics: reflector-array antenna cuts each sat to ~70kg, driving ~$135M for ~280 sats deployable in a single launch. Pitched at sovereign and regional operators wanting a Starlink alternative without building from scratch.

Extra: Anchor deal $135M Kongsberg (Norway) · first customer-link sat targeted Oct 2026
Open Cosmos ConnectedCosmos
🇪🇺 Open Cosmos
Gatewayless mesh; P2P + IoT
Emerging
In Orbit
2 (Ka filing active)
Target
Not disclosed
Band
Ka (Liechtenstein)
Telco Role
Sovereign / wholesale

European sovereign LEO targeting governments, telcos and automotive. Gatewayless OISL mesh. Won Liechtenstein's high-priority Ka-band filings (ex-Rivada); activated the filing Jan 2026 with a 2-sat launch. Vertically integrated (UK/Spain/Portugal/Greece).

Extra: ITU milestones due Jun & Sep 2026 · positions as critical national infrastructure
Demand driver — Professional first-responder & secure/sovereign comms: Disaster-response and emergency comms-restoration run on terminals (Starlink Mini, OneWeb, Telesat, Logos), bought by agencies — not consumer D2D. Routine policing stays terrestrial (FirstNet-style dedicated public-safety nets) with satellite as backup. The map-worthy insight: public safety + national security is the demand engine behind the "sovereign connectivity" theme visible in OneWeb, Univity, Telesat, IRIS² and Open Cosmos.
Segment 3
Legacy MSS Operators — Pivoting & Repositioning
Established mobile satellite services repositioning around NTN, D2D, multi-orbit partnerships, or being absorbed by hyperscalers.
Iridium
🇺🇸 Iridium
66-sat L-band, operational
Operational

66-satellite L-band constellation. IoT, safety services. Partnered for NTN narrowband. The long-standing crosslink-mesh LEO.

Globalstar
🇺🇸 Amazon-acquired
Apple iPhone SOS backbone
Acquired by Amazon

Apple's exclusive iPhone Emergency SOS partner; now folded into Amazon's space stack. See Segment 1 for D2D implications.

Inmarsat (Viasat)
🇬🇧 Viasat
GEO-heavy, LEO ambitions
Operational

Now part of Viasat. GEO-heavy fleet with some LEO ambitions. Maritime, aviation, government — adjacent to telco rather than direct.

EchoStar
🇺🇸 EchoStar / Dish
Pivoting to spectrum-holder, not operator
Spectrum sold off

Major shift: FCC approved EchoStar's ~$40B spectrum sale (May 2026) — ~65MHz to SpaceX (~$20B, AWS-4/H-Block for Starlink D2C) + ~50MHz to AT&T ($23B). Cancelled its own D2D constellation (MDA contract); Boost Mobile continues as a hybrid MVNO on AT&T. Now a spectrum-holding / capital-management entity, clearing 2026 debt.

Extra: EU angle — co-incumbent (as Solaris) on the 2 GHz MSS band expiring May 2027; runs Lyra IoT + planned 5G "Wideband NTN" · Ergen back as CEO
SES
🇱🇺 SES
Multi-orbit — owns MEO, partners LEO · acquired Intelsat
Operational
GEO
Owned (Intelsat-expanded, trimming)
MEO
O3b mPower · 10/13 live, full 2H26
LEO
Not owned — via Lynk + IRIS²
Telco role
Backhaul / wholesale, not D2C

Acquired Intelsat (Jul 2025), ~doubling its fleet to ~120 sats; Q1'26 revenue +80% YoY. MEO (O3b mPower) is the crown jewel — fiber-like backhaul for telcos, NATO, govts, cruise/aviation/energy (e.g. Petrobras FPSOs); can't do direct-to-cell. LEO is partner-only: invested in Lynk Global D2D (now merging with Omnispace) as funder + MEO-relay backhaul + ground network + MNO channel — phone-to-sat is Lynk's LEO, SES carries the relay.

Extra: Leads SpaceRISE on IRIS² (18 owned MEO sats + LEO commercialization rights) — final go/no-go pending mid-2026 on internal rate-of-return red lines · pulling back from GEO expansion · "meoSphere" next-gen MEO ~2030
Segment 4
Government / Defense Comms — Telco as Customer
Defense communications belongs here: it moves data and competes for the same spectrum, supply chain, and talent as commercial constellations. Surveillance/imagery (ISR) is a separate, adjacent industry — see context card below.
SDA Proliferated Warfighter (PWSA)
🇺🇸 Space Development Agency
Transport + tracking mesh, Tranches 1–3
Deploying
Tranche 1
154 SVs + 4 demo
Tranche 2
270 sats · late 2026
T3 Tracking
$3.5B / 72 · NET 2029
Status flag
Strategic pause

T1 = initial warfighting capability (126 transport + 28 tracking). T3 Tracking awarded Dec 2025. Watch: T3 transport layer unfunded in FY26 request — alt-PNT (GPS-independent) expansion on hold. Transport layer underpins the Pentagon's CJADC2 data-relay backbone.

Golden Dome — Space-Based Interceptors
🇺🇸 USSF / SSC
Largest weapons program in US history
Prototyping
SBI Awards
$3.2B · 12 firms
Demo Target
2028
CBO Est.
up to $542B / 20yr
Comms Software
9-co. group

Space-based interceptor prototypes from a mix of primes + newcomers (Lockheed, Northrop, Raytheon, SpaceX, Anduril, True Anomaly, GD…). Telco-relevant slice: SpaceX integrates milcomms in a software group with Anduril, Palantir, Aalyria. Anduril acquired ExoAnalytic (space-tracking) Mar 2026.

About the segment · Adjacent industry — not telco
Commercial ISR / Earth Observation (EO)

ISR = Intelligence, Surveillance, Reconnaissance. These satellites point sensors down to image the Earth — they are the camera, not the pipe. They carry no telecom traffic and compete with no telco. Shares launch, manufacturing and talent with comms constellations, but not customers, spectrum dynamics, or the telco relationship. Included for context only.

Customers span defense/intelligence (NRO, NATO, militaries) and purely civilian: insurers (flood/storm damage), commodity traders (crop yields, port/parking-lot activity), environmental agencies (deforestation, methane), agriculture, and AI firms wanting planetary-scale data. The recurring pattern — sovereign demand met by commercial subscription — mirrors the satcom sovereignty theme.

Optical: Planet Labs (Pelican, AI onboard), BlackSky (Gen-3, 35cm), Vantor (ex-Maxar, share leader) · SAR: ICEYE (50+ sats, sovereign hardware sales), Capella · New NRO awardees: Pixxel (hyperspectral), EarthDaily, SatVu, HEO
Segment 5
Emerging Startups & Scaleups
A third tier that barely existed 18 months ago. Common thread: radically cheaper constellations, and — crucially for telcos — most are not chasing consumers. Several sell capacity wholesale to operators (neutral-host model), the opposite of the Starlink disintermediation threat.
Univity
🇫🇷 Univity
Ex-"Constellation Technologies & Operations" — VLEO 5G
Pre-deployment
Telco impact:
Wholesale / neutral host
Target
~1,500–3,400 VLEO
Funding
€27M A · ~€68M total
Orbit / Band
VLEO ~375km · 5G mmWave
Service date
Demo 2027 · sales Q4'28

"Neutral space infrastructure" built for telcos, not consumers — operators lease wholesale VLEO capacity via IRU contracts (the model telcos already use for subsea fibre) and keep their own branding/pricing. Explicitly not Direct-to-Cell — terminal-based (~30cm, <€500, <30ms). Very low altitude = days-to-months debris reentry. ESA-incubated; ex-OneWeb/Airbus/Thales team.

Extra: Targets ~30 Tbps capacity, 1,200 telco-integrated gateways · LOIs incl. Orange, TDF, Telkomsat, Vocus, NTT/Transatel, OVHcloud · Bpifrance/CNES-backed · figures partly from a 2024 deck — directional, not final
Logos Space
🇺🇸 Logos
Jam-resistant enterprise / gov broadband
Pre-launch
Telco impact:
Enterprise/gov niche
FCC Auth
Feb 2026
Target
4,178 sats by 2035
Series A
$50M (USIT)
Service
Late 2027

"Multigigabit," jam- and EW-resistant, Ka/Q/V-band. Led by ex-Google's Milo Medin + Starlink/Kuiper alum Rama Akella; backed by Thomas Tull's USIT. No demo sats — going straight to operational.

Blue Origin TeraWave
🇺🇸 Blue Origin
Fiber-grade from space — niche by design
Announced
Telco impact:
Backhaul / data-center
Target
5,408 LEO+MEO
Speeds
up to 144 Gbps sym.
Band
Q/V optical mesh
Target Users
~100,000

Announced Jan 2026. Targets data centers, telcos, cloud providers and governments needing fiber-comparable, ultra-high-throughput links. Explicitly positioned as a gap-filler, "not designed to compete" with Starlink.

Sateliot
🇪🇸 Sateliot
5G NB-IoT NTN — most commercially advanced
Deploying
Telco impact:
MNO roaming model
Latest Round
€100M (Apr 2026)
Standard
3GPP 5G NB-IoT
Gov Stake
Spain 18.7%
Next Block
16 sats / 5G NR demo

Standards-based store-and-forward IoT via MNO roaming. Telco deals with Telefónica España (Apr 2026) and Deutsche Telekom multi-orbit NB-IoT. Sovereignty angle via the Spanish state stake.

OQ Technology
🇱🇺 OQ
IoT-first, moving to D2D messaging
Operational
Telco impact:
Roaming partners
In Orbit
~10 sats
EIB Funding
$29M → 20 sats
D2D Service
Late 2026
Roaming MNOs
~15

Enterprise IoT (Aramco) + operators (Deutsche Telekom, KPN, Telefónica). Demoed emergency broadcast to unmodified iPhones/Androids — claimed European first — scaling to texting/voice for roaming partners.

Kinéis
🇫🇷 Kinéis
CNES spin-off — first European IoT constellation, fully deployed
Operational
Telco impact:
Proprietary IoT / sovereignty
Constellation
25 nanosats · LEO 650km
Deployment
Complete (Mar 2025)
Commercial
Service live Jun 2025
Backing
CLS 32% · France 2030

Operates the legacy ARGOS system; new 25-sat constellation adds IoT + ship-tracking AIS. Proprietary air interface (not 3GPP) targeting logistics, livestock, environmental monitoring — adjacent to telco rather than wholesale-to-MNO, but a flagship of the European IoT-sovereignty thread alongside Univity/Sateliot.

Galaxy Space (Yinhe)
🇨🇳 Galaxy Space
Private Chinese D2D / 5G NTN startup
Test phase
Telco impact:
China D2D / sovereign stack
In Orbit
~8 sats (test)
Target
~1,000 sats (D2D)
Valuation
~¥8B (~$1.2B)
Band
Q/V/Ka · 10 Gbps test

Founded 2016; "Mini-Spider" 5G test constellation, completed a handset-to-satellite call. The only private-startup tier in China's stack (vs state-led Guowang/Qianfan in Segment 2). Reportedly behind earlier timelines — included to round out the non-Western startup landscape.